Starlink | Dual-Coin Public Strategy Direction: Long at lower levels. Entry: 62,800–62,950. Stop-loss: 62,550. Target: 63,300–63,650. This has been the rhythm over the past few days. It’s not about chasing the market every day, but preparing the plan in advance and waiting for the market to provide an opportunity. Everyone can see the strategy I’ve shared publicly these past few days. Participate when the levels are reached. If the levels aren’t reached, wait patiently. Many people think they need to complete several trades in a single day. But once you truly become consistent, you’ll find that it’s not that there are fewer opportunities—it’s that you stop taking opportunities that don’t belong to you. Weekend markets tend to pull back and forth, with less continuous volatility than on weekdays. At times like this, it’s better to trade less than to trade just for the sake of trading. I’ve always had one principle: Execute when the planned level is reached. If the market moves outside the plan, just watch it move. Trading isn’t about who places more orders. It’s about who can stick to discipline for longer. One sentence for today: Go long around 62,800–62,950. Stop-loss: 62,550. Target: 63,300–63,650. It’s the weekend. Take the trade if the level is reached; rest if it isn’t. The market will always be there—there’s no need to rush this trade.$BTC ‌#闪迪两周反弹63% #比特币变盘信号出现

🚨 BITCOIN HAS 50 DAYS LEFT 🚨 $BTC macro cycles are starting to look almost too consistent: Bull (2015 -> 2018): 1,064 days Bear (2018 -> 2019): 365 days Bull (2019 -> 2022): 1,064 days Bear (2022 -> 2023): 365 days Bull (2022 -> 2025): 1,064 days Now we’re watching the same setup repeat again Bear (2025 -> 2026): 365 days If the current bear phase follows the same 365-day rhythm, the cycle bottom should arrive around early October 2026 Get ready! Save this and check back later! $BTC ‌

September rate hike probability falls below 40%: Has BTC’s liquidity inflection point arrived? Last night, the U.S. Department of Commerce released data: July retail sales fell 0.6% month-on-month, while the market had expected a 0.1% increase. June still saw positive growth of 0.2%, but that completely reversed within a month. Consumption accounts for 70% of U.S. GDP. Once this collapses, the entire economic narrative has to be rewritten. On the same day, the University of Michigan’s preliminary August Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 51.0, versus expectations of 54.5, while July stood at 55.2. It declined for the first time in three months, falling 7.6% month-on-month. Americans not only have less money to spend; they have also lost confidence that they will have money to spend in the future. Let’s lay out the cards from the past week: July CPI rose 3.4% year-on-year, below the previous reading of 3.5%, while core CPI fell to 2.5% year-on-year. Inflation is cooling. July PPI was flat month-on-month at 0%, while expectations were for a 0.2% increase. Producer prices are lying flat. July nonfarm payrolls fell by 23k, while expectations were for an increase of 80k. The May and June figures were also revised down by a cumulative 103k. Four arrows fired at once: cooling CPI + flat PPI + collapsing nonfarm payrolls + plunging retail sales. Consumption has stalled, employment has collapsed, and prices can no longer rise—what reason does the Federal Reserve have to keep raising rates? On August 5, CME FedWatch showed a 58.4% probability of a September rate hike. On August 7, after the nonfarm payrolls report came out, it fell to 55%. On August 12, after the CPI report came out, it fell to 48%. On August 13, after the PPI report came out, it fell to 38%. In one week, the rate hike probability fell from 58% to 38%, dropping to 65% of its original level. The probability of rates remaining unchanged has already risen to 59.9%. One data point after another has dismantled the hawkish stronghold brick by brick. On August 14, BTC fell back to $62,773. It is still hovering around $60k. QCP Capital put it bluntly: geopolitical risks, elevated oil prices, and uncertainty over global liquidity—these macro headwinds have outweighed all the favorable economic data. In other words: it failed to rise when it was supposed to. The rate-hike shoe is about to be pulled back, and the liquidity inflection point is coming—but BTC simply is not taking off. The rate hike probability has fallen from 58% to 38%, yet BTC is still hovering around $60k. Either the market is wrong, or something bigger is brewing. I personally lean toward the latter. Three consecutive months of major inflation data have failed to move BTC. This asset, which should have been trading on rate-cut expectations, is now being driven entirely by other factors—the U.S.-Iran conflict, oil prices above $100, and institutional selling. Macroeconomic tailwinds have been completely offset by geopolitical headwinds. Oil prices cannot stay at $100 forever, and the Middle East cannot remain at war forever, but the Federal Reserve makes an interest-rate decision every month. When these short-term sources of noise fade, the long-term trend of easier liquidity will arrive late, but it will not be absent. Let me end with something practical— Now is not the time to panic; it is time to keep your eyes wide open. The rate hike probability has fallen below 40%, and the market is repricing. If there is no rate hike in September, or even if rate cuts begin to be discussed—BTC’s current price is a golden pit. But if you have no cash, it makes no difference how deep the pit is. #Gate7月增长Top1 #闪迪两周反弹63% #我的七夕交易分享 $BTC $ETH $AKE