#我的七夕交易分享 Bitcoin Recent Trading Approach (Mid-August 2026) Market Overview Price range: BTC is currently fluctuating repeatedly within the $63,000–$66,000 range. After falling sharply from the October 2025 all-time high of approximately $126k, it has recently entered a low-level bottoming phase. Market characteristics: The four-hour moving averages are intertwined and the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with the market entering a narrow range-bound consolidation It tested highs near 66,500 twice in July but failed to break through effectively, forming a rhythm of “two steps forward, one step back” Short-term long and short forces are balanced, with no directional signal Reference Trading Strategies 1. Range-bound trading strategy (currently the most suitable) The market currently has no clear one-way signal, making a range-based approach more suitable than chasing trades: If the price stabilizes around 63,000 after a pullback, consider cautiously taking a small long position, with the stop-loss below the previous low If the rebound stalls at 65,500–66,000, consider reducing positions or cautiously taking a small short position 2. If there is a high-volume breakout above 65,500–66,000 and the price holds there, follow the trend and look for the rebound to continue If 63,000 is broken decisively, the price may retest the previous low, so pay attention to risk control 3. Conservative approach Wait for clearer stabilization signals before entering; frequent position opening during consolidation can easily become “slow-motion suicide” Pay attention to volume confirmation—contraction indicates accumulation, while a high-volume breakout is the high-probability setup Risk Warnings 1. Macroeconomic uncertainty: Federal Reserve policy and U.S. stock market performance continue to affect risk assets; the market is divided over whether rates will be raised in September 2. False-breakout risk: Current trading volume is relatively low, making bull and bear traps more likely and increasing the risk of chasing rallies and selling into declines 3. Regulation and liquidity: The sustainability of ETF inflows and regulatory developments are key variables affecting the medium-term trend 4. Position discipline: Crypto asset allocations are recommended to remain below 5% of the overall portfolio to avoid concentration risk in a single asset BTC is currently in a bottoming consolidation phase, with neither its direction nor trend clear. In terms of execution, “observe more, trade less, use strict stop-losses, and wait for a high-volume breakout signal” is a relatively prudent approach. Short-term participants should strictly buy low and sell high within the range, adding to positions in the direction of the trend only after a breakout is confirmed; medium-term investors can watch for reversal signals marked by stabilization at low levels and increased volume. This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice! $BTC

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$BTC is gearing up.