🔥 Gate Square Daily Featured Posts | 10.8 Picks Are Out The same market, different approaches in the Square 💡 Some see opportunities on pullbacks, some are watching the flow of funds, while others are sharing their experiences using Gate Card and position experience vouchers. Of these 8 posts today, who would you like to chat with first? 📊 [@JS大鲨鱼](gt://mention/g1ICRTJLwiiH-IKpFx) ｜After every meeting comes a drop—how should BTC be viewed now? https://www.gate.com/post/status/curated/24799906 💳 [@唐华斑竹](gt://mention/g1KoP86hR9ICwqeaG_) ｜From subscription payments to everyday spending, how do you use Gate Card? https://www.gate.com/zh/post/status/curated/24804326 🔍 [@Four_iv](gt://mention/g1VxAunc1rWvyBXgaa) ｜With ETH short positions increasing, why is he still bullish? https://www.gate.com/zh/post/status/curated/24801500 📈 [@分析师麒麟](gt://mention/g1fzwPHA_5hbJODKqe) ｜After Micron's sharp drop, how should we assess the rebound opportunity? https://www.gate.com/zh/post/status/24802579 💰[@大米饭指标](gt://mention/g1EXMdQ3sjdzPBgOVo) ｜Funds are still flowing in—is it enough to drive BTC higher? https://www.gate.com/zh/post/status/curated/24804233 🎬 [@卡特说分析](gt://mention/g16veq0gvCfrIzVGc3) ｜With BTC pulling back on the weekly chart, where is the pressure on ETH's rebound? https://www.gate.com/post/status/24817383 🎟️ [@作手Trader](gt://mention/g11wkoVrjW1aovT89U) ｜After receiving a 50 USDT position experience voucher, he chose to go long on NEAR https://www.gate.com/zh/post/status/curated/24799289 🌐 [@山顶Ryak](gt://mention/g1OKtHHi56cz4cPttU) ｜With the minutes sounding hawkish, why is the market still waiting for CPI? https://www.gate.com/zh/post/status/curated/24815862 🎁 Selected authors receive 3 days of traffic support + featured content Open the original post and discuss your views with the author 👇 The next featured post could be yours! #每日神贴 #Gate Square

The Federal Reserve released the minutes of its September 15–16 meeting on October 7, and the document carried a message that the market has spent the days since trying to interpret. The headline is straightforward: all 19 officials supported the quarter-point increase that took the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%, the first hike since 2023. Most participants believed another increase by year-end could be appropriate. Yet the market's reaction since the release suggests that investors are not treating the minutes as a signal that a move is imminent. The distinction between "by year-end" and "at the next meeting" is where the debate now sits. The minutes showed that most participants saw a further hike as potentially appropriate, but they also stressed that decisions would remain data-dependent and gave no indication that the October 27–28 meeting was the intended venue. That ambiguity is reflected in rate futures, where the probability of an October increase has fallen to roughly 17%–25%, depending on the measure, down from around 70% before officials began speaking publicly in late September. The odds of a December move remain substantially higher. The internal debate revealed in the minutes adds another layer. Some participants viewed the current policy rate as not restrictive or only mildly restrictive, a view that would lower the bar for further tightening. A couple raised their estimates of the neutral rate, the level that neither stimulates nor restrains the economy. Inflation risks were described as skewed to the upside, with some participants concerned that after more than five years of above-target inflation, expectations and wage-and-price-setting behavior could begin to shift. On the labor market, most officials assessed that risks had become broadly balanced, and a majority said the labor market had strengthened a bit recently. Bitcoin's response to the minutes was notable for how small it was. The price rose about 0.18% within five minutes of the release, moving from roughly $83,159 to $83,306 on one venue, a gain that was larger than the moves in equities or gold over the same window. That is a modest reaction by any measure, and it came after a decline leading into the release. The muted response suggests that the market had already priced in a hawkish tone and was looking for something more definitive to move direction. The more significant variable now sits on the calendar. The September Consumer Price Index is due for release on October 14, two weeks before the Fed's next decision. Forecasts point to a monthly increase of around 0.4% and an annual rate near 3.4%, but some analysts see upside risk from elevated oil prices and the pass-through into food and transportation costs. The minutes themselves noted that the longer energy prices stay high, the greater the risk of broader price pressures. If the CPI print comes in above expectations, the case for an October hike strengthens. If it confirms that inflation is cooling, the pause narrative gains support. For risk assets, the transmission channel runs through the dollar and Treasury yields. The 10-year yield remains near 5.3%, and the dollar has held firm. When the risk-free rate is that elevated, the opportunity cost of holding assets that do not pay a yield rises, and that pressure has kept Bitcoin range-bound in recent weeks. A softer CPI reading would ease that pressure by reducing the probability of further tightening. A hotter print would do the opposite. The minutes also touched on the Treasury market, with some participants describing it as functioning smoothly while emphasizing the need to prepare for possible stress. That caution reflects the scale of government borrowing needs and the sensitivity of the market to shifts in rate expectations. For now, the Fed's message is that it is watching the data and has not committed to a path. The CPI report on October 14 is the next data point that could change that calculation. This article is not investment advice. Analysis is based on publicly available information and does not guarantee future outcomes. $BTC $GT $ETH #FedSeptemberMinutesLeanHawkish $NAS100 $USDJPY

I originally just wanted to mooch a free breakfast, but the market handed me a short that paid for six months of dumplings. A few days ago, while the market was moving sideways at the highs in the afternoon, $ETH ’s upward pushes were getting weaker each time, and the volume failed to follow. So I flagged the short setup around 2735.31. The pressure at the highs was simply too obvious—there were no buyers on the way up. If you don’t short at a level like this, are you really going to wait until it falls to chase it? The market gave us the answer afterward, with the price sliding all the way from 2735.31 to 2471.03, delivering a direct +1679.15% return on the short. Feeling good, brothers—the wait for this piece of meat was worth it. The market is waited out, and profits are held onto. I’ve closed 80% of the position first, locking in the bulk of the gains. I’m protecting the remaining 20% at the entry price. If the sell-off continues, let the profits run; if it rebounds, don’t give those profits back. For those who haven’t gotten in yet, take it from me: now is not the time to charge in. Chasing shorts makes it easy to get schooled by a rebound. I’ll move when the next signal appears and notify you immediately. Don’t let profits inflate your ego, and don’t despair over drawdowns. $SNDK $ADA