Investors have increased expectations that the Fed will pause its interest rate cuts after the Labor Department reported a decline in the unemployment rate. Traders are pricing in a near-zero probability of a Fed rate cut in January. $BTC $ETH

#ETH Tonight, ETH (Ethereum) is generally oscillating, but the trend leans more towards “initial dip followed by rise.” In the short term, it’s more suitable to buy on dips rather than chase high positions. 1. Current Market and Key Levels - Price Range: Currently, ETH is fluctuating roughly between $3055 and $3135. The $3135 level is a short-term resistance, while the $3030–$3055 zone is an important support band. - Bull-Bear Threshold: - Above: If it stabilizes above $3135 → watch for $3170–$3200 and around $3255; - Below: If it breaks below $3030–$3055 → watch for $2977–$3000. 2. Technical Bull-Bear Signals 1. Bullish Signals - Daily Level: Price remains above $3030, with the bottom gradually rising, indicating a “bullish structure not broken.” - Hourly/4-Hour Level: Bollinger Bands are contracting, moving averages are converging, indicating an “extreme convergence” state. Once volume increases and breaks out, a strong trend may develop. 2. Bearish Signals - Recently, multiple rejections near $3140–$3160 with long upper shadows suggest heavy selling pressure above, making a quick breakout difficult. - MACD shows a golden cross but with weakening momentum; RSI is approaching overbought territory, indicating higher risk in chasing the top. 3. Tonight’s Trading Strategy 1. Long (Buy) Strategy (More Recommended) - Ideal Entry: When the price dips to $3055–$3070 and stabilizes, consider a small long position. - Stop Loss: Below $3030. - Target: First aim for $3135; if it stabilizes, then look for $3170–$3200. 2. Short (Sell) Strategy (Cautious) - Ideal Entry: When the price rebounds to $3130–$3150 and shows signs of stagnation, consider a small short. - Stop Loss: Above $3160. - Target: First aim for $3080–$3100; if it breaks below, then watch for $3030–$3055. 3. Key Observation Points - If volume breaks above $3135 and stabilizes, the short-term bias is bullish, and it’s suitable to chase longs. - If volume breaks below $3030, be alert for further decline towards $2977–$3000; in that case, close long positions and observe. 4. Position and Risk Management Suggestions - Position Size: Manage your positions carefully; avoid heavy bets on a single direction. - Stop Loss: Always set appropriate stop losses, especially in futures trading, to prevent extreme slippage.