Trump White House war room secret meeting, ceasefire countdown of three days, the script of rise and fall repeats again?

Early morning of April 19, Trump urgently summoned the core team including the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, and CIA Director to the White House war room to discuss the Strait of Hormuz crisis. U.S. officials announced: after the three-day ceasefire expires, if negotiations do not make breakthroughs, the war will restart within days.
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Once the news broke, the oil market's nerves tightened again. But what is truly worth warning is the repeated performance of the “Trump deal” script—before each major announcement, crude oil futures markets pre-position massive short orders, first creating panic to push prices up, then smashing the market with good news to harvest profits.
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On March 23, Trump delayed the attack on Iran by 15 minutes, entering $580 million in short orders, causing oil prices to plummet 15%. On April 7, hours before the ceasefire agreement was announced, a $950 million short position was quietly established, and the opening price dropped below $100. On April 18, 20 minutes before Iran’s foreign minister announced the Strait’s opening, a $760 million short was precisely targeted, causing an 11% drop in oil prices that day.

Three times of strategic timing, totaling over $2.2 billion in shorts. The CFTC has launched an investigation, Senator Warren directly pointed to “insider manipulation of the market.” With only three days left on the ceasefire countdown, regulatory bullets are still flying, and market bullets are already loaded. In the next 72 hours, every post from Trump is a harvest switch—first releasing war smoke to push prices up, then announcing an agreement to smash the market.
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