Foresight News 独家,Vitalik 在接受 Foresight News 采访时表示,其去年在 Polymarket 上赚了 7 万美元,本金为 44 万美元。Vitalik 称,他的策略是寻找那些陷入「疯狂模式」的市场,然后押注「疯狂的事情不会发生」。Vitalik 关注的 Polymarket 上的细分领域包括政治、技术等。
且 Vitalik 提到了预测市场可能出现的预言机问题,其表示,解决该问题主要有两条路径:第一条路是中心化模式,简单来说就是相信一家公司,比如彭博社,由他们为你提供准确的信息。第二条路是 Token Voting,也就是去中心化模式,UMA 就是这种模式的代表,最近大家对 UMA 的信任度在下降。希望未来我们能找到一个更好的解决方案。
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