#数字资产市场动态 Getting into the circle in 2024, since entering in April, my account has been oscillating around the zero line—neither making profit nor loss, but gaining real-world experience. Over the past year, I met three people who changed my understanding of $BTC $ETH trading: **The first taught me**: Support and resistance levels are dynamic. It’s not about rushing in at the first sight, but about observing whether it breaks below or bounces back and stabilizes, confirming a true breakout before entering. This saved me countless times from chasing highs. **The second taught me**: Waiting for the right position is more important than the trade itself. Don’t act before reaching your target, and avoid wasting orders and mental energy during bad times. Discipline is truly the most scarce resource. **The third taught me**: Position management and psychological control are one and the same. Being able to control risk and adjust positions ensures that when watching the market, you won’t be led by the price movements. This has been the most valuable lesson I’ve learned all year. The New Year is approaching, and I hope everyone can find their rhythm in this market and move forward steadily.

#战略性加仓BTC All green data doesn't necessarily mean good news. Today, BTC broke 88,000, ETH stabilized above 2,900, and SocialFi has risen for two consecutive days—does this look like a return to a bull market? But looking at the real situation, it's not so optimistic. This rebound has a clear characteristic: funds are rapidly switching between sectors rather than truly flowing into the main market. Layer2 ecosystems are declining, DeFi is also falling, but SocialFi and some Layer1 projects are rising—this isn't a valuation re-evaluation, it's funds playing "pass the flower" within a few hot topics. CC surged 19% in one day, CHZ suddenly jumped 8%, all pointing to the same phenomenon: major players are creating localized hotspots, quickly pushing prices up and then quietly exiting. The most painful observation: the rise of BTC and ETH may be masking a cold hard fact—if the ecosystem were truly developing healthily, why are Layer2 and DeFi, as core infrastructure, weakening instead? This indicates that funds are not genuinely entering ecosystem development, but are just speculating on a few "good-looking" projects. Here are three references for everyone: 1. **The faster the sector rotation, the higher the falsehood of the market**—a real big trend moves together, rising and falling in unison, not so fragmented. 2. **Don't chase sectors that have already surged**—by the time you see it, it's usually the end; chasing high is risky. 3. **Stick to assets you can understand**—the dizzying sector rotations can easily mess with your mindset. Remember one thing: when the market is full of "opportunities" everywhere, it's often none of them belong to true investors. The market is always testing your resolve.

#战略性加仓BTC 💭 The Political Turmoil at the Federal Reserve: Can the Liquidity Landscape Be Reshaped? The recent conflicts between the White House and the central bank are no longer subtle. Trump has openly pressured current Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, criticizing the slow pace of rate cuts and high mortgage rates. More notably, he has begun planning personnel changes—former Economic Advisor Kevin Hassett and former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh are both being considered. This is not just a leadership transition issue. The independence of the Federal Reserve is the cornerstone of the modern financial system. If this line of defense is shaken, the global liquidity game could face a fundamental restructuring. The fiat credit system relies on trust in the central bank’s policy consistency. If that trust is undermined by political interference, the consequences go far beyond mere exchange rate fluctuations. When cracks appear within traditional finance, market participants start seeking alternative value anchors. This explains why crypto assets with strong community consensus and algorithmic certainty gain attention amid increasing macro uncertainty—they are governed by code rather than administrative orders, inherently hedging against policy reversals. From a technical perspective, mainstream assets like $BTC and $ETH have already demonstrated the resilience of decentralized consensus. In an era of uncertain Fed policies, this independence becomes even more valuable. The question is: can Powell hold on until the end of his term in 2026? Will the Fed’s century-old tradition of independence yield under political pressure? The ultimate outcome of this standoff could profoundly influence global capital allocation logic. What’s your view? In the current environment where central bank policies may shift, how should asset allocation strategies be adjusted?