Bitcoin has returned to the key level of 93,000. Based on the midday market, the probability of continuing to rise after hitting the bottom is quite high. The specific data is as follows: Bitcoin is above 92,100, having risen 900 points; Ethereum is around 3,131, with a gain of 46 points. Although there was no particularly intense volatility in the afternoon, the bulls' strength remains. The 900-point space corresponds to Bitcoin, and Ethereum's 46-point increase has provided many trading opportunities in the market. The key is to judge the direction accurately, then wait. Once there is a confirmed profit, it will naturally come.

50% of all recorded Q1's have been green for $BTC.

Pre-market signals in the US stock market show an interesting trend—cryptocurrency concept stocks are collectively gaining strength. MSTR is up 3.7%, and compliant platforms similar to Coinbase are up nearly 3.8%. This synchronized upward movement reflects a certain shift in traditional capital's attitude towards the crypto sector. As a long-term market observer, I view this change in conjunction with current on-chain data and market sentiment, highlighting a few points worth noting. **Macroeconomic Perspective: Signals of Capital Flows** The entry of traditional financial capital is often a leading indicator. When crypto concept stocks in the US market rise together, it usually indicates that broader funds are reassessing this sector. This shift in sentiment is not unfounded but based on a certain optimistic outlook on fundamentals. **On-Chain Data: Footprints of Smart Money** In the past 24 hours, two notable on-chain activity features stand out: first, large BTC addresses have increased holdings by over 12,000 coins, which is uncommon recently. Second, net outflows from exchanges have reached monthly highs—in other words, a large amount of Bitcoin is leaving exchanges and flowing into private wallets. This is typically interpreted as long-term holders positioning themselves for future gains. Ethereum's situation is also positive. The number of active addresses on the network has significantly increased, and the locked-in value in DeFi ecosystems is gradually rising. These details together paint a picture of improving fundamentals. **News and Policy: Multiple Factors Converge** Progress on ETF-related developments continues, with institutional participation increasing. Technically, mainstream cryptocurrencies are breaking through previous resistance levels. When macro sentiment, on-chain data, and policy trends all point in the same direction, market reactions tend to be decisive. **Market Outlook** Based on current data, BTC may test key resistance levels (around $50,000) within the next 1 to 2 weeks. If this level is effectively broken, the upside potential for altcoins will also open up accordingly. Historically, when these signals appear simultaneously, the market usually responds. **Practical Approach** Rather than obsessing over short-term fluctuations, focus on quality projects. The fundamentals of mainstream coins are relatively stable, and projects with real use cases are worth paying attention to. Diversify your positions, avoid chasing highs, and hold patiently—this is the usual approach to navigating uncertain times. The market is indeed changing, but change itself takes time to confirm. Stay observant, and act when the time is right.