#BTC资金流动性 The holiday liquidity tightening is indeed a good time for adjustment. The US stock market is closed these days, and the market trading volume has significantly shrunk, but to be frank, there hasn't been much new unfavourable information recently. Large institutions have also changed their tune - the previous wave of position reduction has passed, and recently they have been gradually increasing their holdings in leading coins. The drop in mid-October really dampened a lot of people's spirits, and to regain confidence, we still need to wait for favourable policy news. However, the overall direction for next year still looks bullish, and we should be able to see the market maker's true intentions after the holiday.
Don't be too pessimistic in the short term. This week, Bitcoin will mainly fluctuate between 8.6 and 9.1, so friends doing swing trading should keep an eye on this range. Be careful, as the holidays have fewer people, and market makers can easily take advantage of low liquidity, so don't be scared off by a quick spike after a support break. It's best to just add stop-loss orders or simply do light positions with stop-loss and repeatedly make up positions, the key is to control the position size well. Personally, I tend to be bullish, feeling that the short-term bottom is around here. As long as the current support holds during the holidays, a rebound after a drop is usually quite strong—if liquidity accumulates thick enough, once the market maker starts liquidating, the speed can be frightening. This time, I am looking upwards.
**Bitcoin Strategy**: Aggressive short positions around 87800, reduce position if it rises by 400 points, and run if the pullback is slow. The conservative approach is to add short at 88300, with a stop loss above 88500. The safe plan is to place a short order at 89500, which is unlikely to be reached within the day, with a stop loss of 500 points and a take profit target of 1000 points. Long positions are arranged around 87000, buy at 86000 if it breaks down, with a stop loss of 500 points and a take profit of 1000 points. The extreme view is to buy the dip at 2830.
**Ethereum Strategy**: Aggressive short at 2970, stop loss at 15 points, take profit at 30 points. Conservative short at 3000, same stop loss at 15 points, take profit at 30 points. The most extreme short can be tried around 3033. Long positions mainly at 2930 to test the bottom, after breaking can place orders at 2900, stop loss at 10 points, take profit at 30 points. Steady long positions are set at 2870, stop loss at 15 points to gamble on the real bottom. The extreme bottom is at 2805.
**SOL Strategy**: Buy more at 120.6, stop loss at 1 point, take profit at 2 points, extreme bottom at 118. Short position near 124.7, stop loss at 1 point, reduce position for 2 points. Extreme short at 127.5, stop loss at 1 point, take profit at 2 points.
Remember, in such an environment during the holidays, it's better to miss out than to get trapped. $BTC $ETH $SOL