February 27, 2026, the crypto market, after months of sustained volatility and decline, hovers around $67,692. On-chain analyst Willy Woo released a series of conjectures regarding the current market phase, sparking widespread discussion. He pointed out that the bearish sell-off dominated by investors is nearing its end, but the simultaneous deterioration of spot and futures liquidity makes any rebound difficult to sustain.
Woo's core assessment—that the bear market may end in Q4, with a typical bottom around $45,000, and two defensive lines at $30,000 and $16,000 following a breakdown of the global macro environment—provides a structured framework based on on-chain data and liquidity models for understanding the current market. This article will start from the event itself, combining market context, data-driven analysis, and multi-dimensional public opinion to examine the logic and potential variables behind this judgment.