Commodities (Crude Oil & Copper) & Macro Outlook

Exxon 與 Chevron 公布 2026 年 Q1 財報，調整後 EPS 超預期，但 YoY 獲利分別下跌約 45% 與 36%。主因是戰爭致避險時間錯位錄得約 40 億與 29 億美元虧損，實體產量也降約 6%，受荷姆茲海峽運輸與 UAE 退出 OPEC 影響。展望 Q2，避險回補、運輸復甦與中東供給變動將成關鍵。

According to ChainCatcher, Federal Reserve official Hamak said broad inflation pressures currently exist, with energy price increases being a key driver of overall price levels.

UAE Formally Withdraws from OPEC The United Arab Emirates formally withdrew from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the OPEC+ mechanism on May 1, according to CCTV News. The decision ends the UAE's nearly 60-year membership in the organization and marks the

According to Xinhua, Singapore Prime Minister Lawrence Wong warned on May 1 that Middle East tensions could intensify global supply chain disruptions over the coming months, putting some economies at recession risk. Wong noted that even if the Strait of Hormuz resumes operations, the crisis should n

Goldman Sachs has raised its oil price forecast due to expected supply disruptions in the Middle East, according to a Bloomberg interview with Daan Struyven, the bank's co-head of global commodities research. Struyven stated that the bank does not anticipate an abrupt end to global oil supply disrup

According to Financial Times, on May 1, Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump merged their shell company with a Kazakhstan critical minerals group that received $1.6 billion in U.S. government support. The tungsten mining project involves deposits in northern Kazakhstan's Katpar and Upper Kairakty

川普政府宣稱4月停火使對伊朗的戰事「終止」，暫停60天授權時鐘，5月1日到期前可免於國會授權。專家指出條文中並無「停時計」機制，分歧仍在；Collins 等共和黨人也投贊成票，顯示對此解釋有挑戰。若法院或國會接受，未來總統或可以停火終止戰事以規避授權。油價仍高企、日圓走強，中東地緣風險未解。

According to Reuters and Axios, on May 1, the Hormuz Strait blockade entered its third month amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions. Iranian Revolutionary Guards officials warned that any new U.S. military strikes, regardless of scale, would trigger "long and painful" attacks on American military

On April 29, stablecoin management platform Stable Sea integrated WisdomTree's tokenized U.S. Treasury money market fund (WTGXX) into its platform, enabling corporate clients to deploy idle operating cash into yield-bearing government securities on blockchain infrastructure. As of April 28, WTGXX

Geopolitical supply disruptions and synchronized central bank hawkishness are sustaining elevated energy prices and inflation pressures across global markets. WTI crude oil remains firmly above the $100 threshold at approximately $101.45, driven by ongoing US naval blockade of Iranian ports and

According to UN Secretary-General António Guterres, on April 30, the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz would trigger severe economic consequences. If the strait remains closed through mid-year, global economic growth would fall to 2.5%, inflation would rise to 5.4%, 32 million additional peo

According to Odaily, White House National Economic Council Director Hassett stated the administration is considering increasing U.S. oil production soon and will maintain ongoing communication with oil companies to discuss how to boost domestic production.

According to ION Group, ION launched XTP for Event Contracts in late 2025, extending its post-trade platform to support real-time processing of event-based derivatives for futures commission merchants. The platform enables contract creation, event resolution, and settlement continuously, including

According to the Associated Press, on April 30, the Trump administration proposed a plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. will maintain its blockade of Iranian ports while coordinating with allies to increase pressure on Iran's attempts to disrupt energy flows through the waterway, a senior

Saudi Arabia's economic growth slowed significantly in the first quarter of 2026 following the US-Israeli war with Iran, with GDP expanding just 2.8 percent according to a flash estimate released by the General Authority of Statistics on Thursday, April 30, 2026. This marks a sharp decline from 5 pe

According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, the PCE price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, rose to 3.5% year-over-year in March, the highest level in nearly three years. The monthly rate increased to 0.7% in March from 0.4% in February, with the annual rate jumping from 2.8%

高市早苗於4/30在X宣布與伊朗總統再度通話，通報一艘載約200萬桶沙烏地油的日本油輪已安全通過荷姆茲海峽；波斯灣內仍有多艘日船待過。日方將持續外交斡旋，盼美伊協議早日重啟，並面對能源與市場風險的雙重壓力。

According to The Block, Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) agreed to acquire Long Ridge Energy & Power from FTAI Infrastructure for $1.5 billion on Thursday (April 29). The deal comprises the assumption of at least $785 million in existing debt, with the remaining balance paid in cash and backstopped

中东风暴推升布伦特原油至 115 美元/桶，特朗普拒绝伊朗停火并计划封锁霍尔木兹海峡。比特币跌穿 76,000 美元，地缘政治风险如何冲击加密市场？