Commodities (Crude Oil & Copper) & Macro Outlook

川普在 Truth Social 威脅若伊朗拒和平協議，將以更高強度重啟對伊軍事打擊；同時稱對協議進展樂觀。談判草案內容包括伊朗暫緩核濃縮、解除制裁、荷姆茲海峽通行放寬，雙方自4/7起暫停武裝衝突，並在48小時內回應形成一頁式備忘錄。市場回應：油價下跌約6%、股債齊升，投資人押注協議成形；若破局，油價回彈。

According to BlockBeats, a whale address (0xebe...14070) accumulated $55.36 million in long positions on crude oil (CL and BRENTOIL) on May 6, with entry prices of $107.1 and $112.4 respectively. The address realized $586,000 in losses after partial liquidation today and remains down

According to market analysis firm The Kobeissi Letter, approximately $920 million in crude oil short positions were established on May 7 at 3:40 AM ET (3:40 PM Beijing time), 70 minutes before Axios reported that the U.S. was nearing a deal with Iran to end their conflict. The market built nearly 10

According to Hyperinsight, two major whale addresses on Hyperliquid opened a spread position (long WTI, short Brent crude) worth $27 million combined on May 6, betting on U.S. crude outperforming Brent. During today's sharp oil price decline, WTI crude weakened, pushing the two addresses' 20x levera

According to Trump's Truth Social post on May 6, President Donald Trump warned he would resume bombing Iran at 'a much higher level and intensity' if no peace deal is agreed. Trump stated he was temporarily halting US efforts to guide stranded vessels through the Strait of Hormuz to allow time for n

According to Gate data, WTI crude oil fell 8.00% intraday to $95.33 per barrel on May 6. Brent crude slipped below $101 per barrel with a 7.40% daily decline.

According to 10jqka, South Korea's April consumer price index reached its highest level in nearly two years, driven by rising oil prices stemming from Middle East tensions. This increases the likelihood of the Bank of Korea raising rates in the second half of 2026 to combat inflationary pressures. E

Flight Cancellations Surge Amid Middle East Fuel Crisis Major airlines have cancelled approximately 13,000 flights scheduled for May 2026 due to surging jet fuel costs linked to the ongoing US-Iran conflict, according to aviation analytics firm Cirium as reported by the Mirror. London Heathrow

根據美國總統川普於 5 月 6 日在 Truth Social 平台發布公告，川普宣布暫停在霍爾木茲海峽執行的「自由計劃」，理由包括巴基斯坦等國的請求及與伊朗代表就全面最終協議達成的巨大進展；布蘭特原油當日下跌 1.81% 至每桶 107.88 美元，西德州中質原油（WTI）跌 1.72% 至每桶 100.51 美元。

全球對 AI 與運算需求激增，貝萊德 CEO 芬克駁斥 AI 泡沫，稱算力短缺將催生「算力期貨」新資產類別。為因應潮流，貝萊德攜手微軟、輝達與 MGX 投入數百億美元於資料中心與能源基礎建設；GIP 以約 400 億美元收購 Aligned Data Centers，並以 107 億美元聯手 EQT 收購 AES。芬克與 Brookfield 等人認為此為長期穩健的複利投資機會，報酬可持續數十年。

5 月 6 日，美国宣布史诗怒火行动结束，霍尔木兹自由计划暂停。比特币回升至 81,700 美元，市场情绪缓和。

During China's May Day holiday from April 30 to May 6, global equity indices posted gains, with Nasdaq up 2.65%, S&P 500 up 1.73%, and Dow Jones up 0.89%. In commodities, base metals strengthened across the board: London aluminum rose 3.16%, nickel up 1.97%, and zinc up 1.50%. Agricultural

According to CCTV News, EU Energy Commissioner Dan Jørgensen warned on May 5 that the Middle East conflict and blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have driven up energy costs for the European Union. Since the conflict erupted, EU member states have spent over 30 billion euros in additional fossil

伊朗宣布成立波斯灣海峽管理局，對荷姆茲海峽實施新通行機制，船隻須透過官方郵件取得授權方可通行，違規將受處置。此舉與美方「自由行動」同時推進，顯示美伊在關鍵水域的權力角力升溫，可能提高保險費與影響全球海運與能源供給。區域衝突風險上升，荷姆茲運量若下降，油價或再度走高。

According to CME Group, the exchange reported average daily volume of 25.9 million contracts in April 2026, with growth concentrated in micro-sized contracts and energy derivatives. Micro WTI crude oil futures volume increased more than fourfold year-over-year, while cryptocurrency derivatives

LME copper prices rose 1.0% to $13,126.62 per ton in the latest trading session.

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, COCOA (Cocoa) has surged by 14% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market activity.

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, COCOA (Cocoa) has surged by 12% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market activity.