SailorSamba
vip
On-chain Analyst
Market Analyst
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#BTC Here’s a heartfelt word for those brothers whose principal is less than 10,000 USDT, holding a few thousand USDT and feeling restless.
#ETH Back then, I was just like you—watching market fluctuations, itching to jump in immediately;
#sol constantly scrolling through others’ profit screenshots; the 3,100 USDT in my hand felt like a hot potato, always wanting to double it as quickly as possible.
But later, I realized: having a small principal isn’t fatal—acting in haste is.
Crypto isn’t a game you win by luck,
nor is it a casino for betting big or small.
You think you can turn things around
BTC-1.36%
ETH-0.09%
SOL-2.97%
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It's almost 2026, and there are still financial management platforms collapsing, with people still investing in wealth management only to lose everything.
In recent days, many investors from all over the country have come to the Zhejiang Financial Asset Exchange Center in Hangzhou. The wealth management products they bought had a yield of 4-5%, but now they've defaulted.
In the past, collapsed P2P platforms used high yields and high returns as a gimmick, but now the products from the Zhejiang Financial Asset Exchange Center that have defaulted offer very low returns, only 4%.
Many people thoug
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Why isn’t virtual currency allowed in China?
Illegal cryptocurrencies have already, to some extent, perfectly circumvented foreign exchange controls. If cryptocurrencies were legalized, it could even render the Golden Tax Phase IV system obsolete.
For example, if you sell an apartment in a first-tier city and receive 5 million RMB in cash, and you want to exchange that for 700,000 USD to transfer abroad:
The bank’s foreign exchange purchase limit is $50,000, and the remittance limit is also $50,000—a double safeguard—so it would take 14 years to complete the transfer.
If you use someone else’s
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Nowadays, hardly anyone talks about real estate at gatherings anymore—a true end of an era.
From what I remember, ever since graduating college and entering society, the most popular topics at group dinners were houses and housing prices.
In the early years, some were optimistic and wanted to keep buying property; others were pessimistic, thinking prices were too high and would eventually fall.
But in the years that followed, everyone was convinced by the rising property prices. Those who had bought houses were pleased with their decisive actions years earlier; those who hadn’t regretted hesit
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The main reason many people currently believe that $BTC will continue to experience a raging bull market is that the Federal Reserve is about to enter an interest rate cut cycle, and a bear market is impossible during a rate cut cycle.
Whenever someone says "ending quantitative tightening + rate cuts = bullish," I always want them to consider this:
Then why, during the three years from 2023 to 2025, did Bitcoin surge from 16,000 to 110,000 during a cycle of quantitative tightening and rate hikes?
If prices rise during rate hikes and also rise during rate cuts, then what do these two factors r
BTC-1.36%
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囤主流享自由vip:
"Classic Volume Trading Rhymes"
Buy the flat, buy the dip, don’t buy the spike; the selling point is at the peak hype.
Small, steady rises are true gains; big, rapid rises mean it's time to refrain.
Sharp drops without volume are just scares; slow declines with heavy volume, get out of there.
A big surge needs a pullback, don’t buy big unless a deep dip comes back.
Now that deposits and withdrawals have been strictly restricted, the opportunity for an explosive altcoin bull market has fully emerged.
Why is that, ❓?
First of all, most altcoins have dropped twenty, thirty, even fifty times in value over the past two years. Retail investors trading crypto spot have lost everything, the losses are unbearable to see, and basically, they've lost all confidence in the crypto space. In the future, there will no longer be any impulse to invest money into crypto.
If altcoins are now pumped fifty or a hundred times across the board, it could help the remaining reta
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GateUser-dabdac5evip:
Do market makers do charity? With deposit restrictions in place, who are they selling to at such high prices?
Repost, Years of Ups and Downs in the Crypto World: What I Rely On Has Never Been Luck $LUNC
In 2017, I was 29. The first time I heard the word “Bitcoin,” it was like catching a glimpse of a faint light in the corner of a noisy bar. Back then, it still carried a hint of mystery and wildness.
Like everyone entering this world for the first time, I had dreams of changing my destiny and also tasted the lessons the market had to offer. I witnessed the madness of 2017 and endured the dead silence of 2018. I watched countless so-called “pros” around me rise in the frenzy of leverage, only to fall q
LUNC27.82%
BTC-1.36%
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Ilovexingvip:
坚定HODL💎
Without Big Pu, Moore Threads soared 425% on its first day of listing, with each share rising 486 yuan, and its market value shooting up to 282.3 billion yuan.
A loss-making company with annual revenue of just over one billion, claiming to benchmark against Nvidia and to be the next Cambricon, has reached the peak of market capitalization right after going public.
Founder Zhang Jianzhong, leveraging his background as former General Manager of Nvidia China, started the business five years ago and easily secured investments, hitting the jackpot thanks to the AI chip boom.
While most entrepreneur
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Many people have always thought that bear markets are the source of losses, but the truth is exactly the opposite. The reason you feel so much pain in a bear market is because you had already filled up your positions at the tail end of the rally. What really buries people at the peak isn’t the crash itself, but that impulsive decision to double down at the top.
In reality, as long as you gradually build your position when no one is paying attention and the market is so cold it could freeze, losing money almost never happens. Especially with those assets that have stood the test of time—you don
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Currency exchange is now a criminal offense!
Why are they so afraid?
The RMB is being issued in massive amounts. If it weren’t for the soaring real estate market absorbing most of the RMB, the currency would have depreciated by ten times or more.
Our total foreign exchange reserves are less than $3 trillion. If everyone goes to exchange, the equivalent RMB should be 21 trillion RMB. So, how could they possibly let you exchange freely?
Don’t think about converting back to RMB; once you convert out, it’s very hard to bring it back in. Because of all kinds of card freezes and those “warm” calls f
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Will China allow cryptocurrencies in the future???
In the 1980s, a group of young men and women were executed for so-called "hooliganism." Looking back now, many of those cases wouldn't even count as crimes. That's how times change—what's rejected today is often accepted in the future, even becoming a trend. Cryptocurrencies are the same. Their survival isn't just hype; it's because they truly solve problems of cross-border transaction security and efficiency, and they meet the needs of the global gray and dark web economies—these are things no single country can simply dismiss at will.
Why ar
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Dogecoin’s “$1 Dream”: Has Musk Forgotten, or Was It Always a Joke?
Let’s start with a reality check: While Bitcoin and Ethereum keep hitting new highs, the once “top dog” DOGE is still stuck at $0.14. It’s five times away from its all-time high of $0.73. This isn’t a correction—it’s falling behind.
Why can’t it rally anymore? The truth might sting a bit:
1. Institutions are voting with their money: They’re not buying in. Grayscale’s Dogecoin ETF (GDOG) is already listed, but inflows are ice-cold. The traditional big players still see it as a “joke,” not a real asset.
2. Musk’s “magic” is wear
DOGE-0.94%
BTC-1.36%
ETH-0.09%
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Why do I prefer technical analysis over fundamentals or news?
The core reason is: in the crypto world, aside from Bitcoin and a few mainstream coins, the vast majority are speculation, not investments.
That quote from Livermore had a big impact on me: “The biggest problem is mixing speculation with investment.” Many people claim they’re making value investments when they buy, but when the price drops, they stubbornly hold on, saying, “It’s okay, it will come back up.” But in reality, fundamentals change, so-called value disappears, investments turn into speculation, and there are countless exa
BTC-1.36%
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How much is 10,000 yuan from the past worth now?
1978: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 14.47 million yuan today
1979: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 12.27 million yuan today
1986: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 1.78 million yuan today
1987: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 1.66 million yuan today
1992: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 930,000 yuan today
1997: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 262,000 yuan today
1999: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 110,000 yuan today
2007: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 59,000 yuan today
2009: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 31,000 yuan today
2012: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 19,000 yua
BTC-1.36%
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Recently, regarding the stablecoin policy from thirteen departments, some people are even worried that buying or selling USDT will become illegal in the future, and say that because of this policy, Bitcoin will fall below $50,000. My thinking might be different from everyone else’s, so I’ll give you a reassuring countermeasure.
I don’t use USDT for trading; I use C2C to buy and sell Bitcoin. What if that becomes restricted? When redeeming USDT turns into a cash run, the fastest destination for USDT will be to instantly convert it all into Bitcoin. Bitcoin might be instantly pumped to $500,000
BTC-1.36%
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Moutai prices have crashed. Will it be embarrassing to treat someone to Moutai in the future?
A few days ago, a friend asked to borrow money from me—100,000 yuan, promising to pay me back within two weeks. I told her I haven’t lent money in a long time and I’d rather not lend this time either. She said it was urgent, and asked if she could just borrow 30,000. I said there’s no difference between 30,000 and 100,000—not lending means not lending.
She said, "Is our relationship not even worth 30,000? What if I die because I don’t have this money?" I got angry and said, "Then just go die," hung up
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If the Fed implements a hawkish rate cut on the 11th next week, then Japan is forced to raise rates on the 19th, and the US Christmas holiday comes on the 25th, starting from mid-December, overall financial market liquidity will drop significantly. Don’t wait for the liquidity to dry up in mid-December to panic—reduce leverage, tighten stop-losses, increase cash holdings and defensive positions like gold and Bitcoin in advance as a hedge. Don’t get passively forced to sell at a loss due to the holiday effect. Prepare early for US stocks, gold, and Bitcoin.
Honestly, just bring it on hard. This
BTC-1.36%
ETH-0.09%
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囤主流享自由vip:
Rises and falls all depend on someone else's words.
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Predicting the next actions of most retail investors on the forum
Most retail investors are experiencing a full bull-to-bear market cycle for the first time, and their operating patterns can be clearly seen from the emotions and discussions in the forum.
Typical mentality when transitioning from bull to bear: denial of reality, fantasizing about rebounds, buying more as prices fall.
After the market peaks and starts to turn downward, retail investors are still basking in the afterglow of making money, generally thinking “this is just a correction,” “the fundamentals haven’t changed,” or “insti
BTC-1.36%
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