Analyst: If the Middle East situation thaws, U.S. Treasury yields are expected to drop to 4.2%.

金色财经_ · 2026-04-03T05:41:19+00:00

Yamato Securities strategist Otani stated that if the Middle East conflict is resolved, the US 10-year Treasury yield could drop to 4.20%. He believes that the foreign ministers' meeting and negotiations between Iran and Oman are positive signals for de-escalation.

金色财经_

2026-04-03 05:41:19

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Golden Finance reports that on April 3, Shun Otani, a strategist at Daiwa Securities, said that if the Middle East conflict reaches a resolution in some form, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury could fall from the current 4.30% back to around 4.20%. Otani noted that once hostilities subside, the market’s focus may shift to ensuring safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz and repairing relations between Iran and the Gulf states that deteriorated during the conflict. He believes that the meeting of foreign ministers from more than 40 countries regarding the situation in the strait, as well as reports about negotiations between Iran and Oman, can all be seen as positive signals toward easing tensions. (Jin10)

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