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Morgan Stanley: Trump's election prospects increase the attractiveness of the US bond yield curve steepening trade
Gate.io 1 Temmuz’da bildirdi, Morgan Stanley’den Matthew Hornbach, Guneet Dhingra ve diğer stratejistler, Donald Trump’ın ABD başkanlık seçimlerini kazanma olasılığının artmasıyla birlikte, ABD tahvil getiri eğrisinin dikleşmesinin cazip bir bahis haline geldiğini düşünüyorlar, çünkü bu durumda ekonomik büyüme yavaşlayabilir ve enflasyon hızlanabilir. Ekonomik büyümenin yavaşladığı bir ortamda, göç ve gümrük politikalarındaki değişikliklerin olasılığı arttı, bu da yatırımcıların ABD faiz oranlarının düşmesine yönelik beklentilerinin artmasına neden olabilir. Ayrıca, Cumhuriyetçilerin büyük çoğunluğu kazanma olasılığı arttıkça, uzun vadeli ABD hazine tahvillerinde prim yapma baskısı oluşabilir. Stratejistler, 2 yıl / 20 yıl vade ABD tahvili getiri eğrisi bahislerini artırmayı öneriyorlar.