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The Fed's next move just became clearer. JPMorgan's latest forecast is bold: zero rate cuts throughout 2026, followed by a potential 25 basis point hike in Q3 2027. The CME FedWatch tool shows a 95% probability that rates remain flat come January, signaling the hawkish tilt isn't priced out yet.
What does this mean for crypto? When liquidity tightens, you get less exuberance. Fewer easy dollars chasing alpha. The hype cycle that powered the last bull run thrived on ultra-loose conditions—that era looks increasingly distant.
BTC and ETH traders are watching these macro crosscurrents closely. A prolonged period of elevated rates could reshape fund flows into digital assets. The question now: can crypto build conviction on fundamentals rather than Fed-driven momentum? The market's about to find out.