According to EDaily, the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached an all-time high and extended its streak to five consecutive days of gains overnight. Expansion of AI data center investment and changes in U.S. tariff policy were cited as key market drivers. Meanwhile, negotiations between the U.S. and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz showed progress, though geopolitical tensions remain elevated.
据中国证券投资(CITIC)称,恒生指数在 7 月反弹,与此同时全球 AI 交易趋势发生结构性转变,消费股和周期股领涨,而硬件相关敞口有所回落。此次反弹反映了三个关键驱动因素:大语言模型成本下降提升了应用层盈利能力,政策支持的流动性改善和外资流入,以及美元指数走弱减轻了估值压力。 CITIC 指出,当前涨势代表的是暴跌后的估值修复,而非全面市场反转。指数的走势从反弹转向持续牛市需要两个条件:一是公司盈利企稳,互联网平台从资本开支扩张转型为盈利性 AI 应用变现;二是美元流动性持续宽松,以支撑市场弹性。该机构预计,8 月财报季将使这些因素变得清晰。