Uncle Bao's meaning tonight is quite obvious

1. About interest rate cuts: If inflation is not lower than 2%, don't think about it, according to the progress of the first quarter, it is unlikely that the interest rate cut at the end of the year will be impossible, and the election will not be affected.
2. About interest rate hikes: If inflation pump breaks 4% (currently between 2% and 3% Fluctuation) or fails to drop inflation for too long, it will be possible to adopt an interest rate hike strategy, but the Federal Reserve is still relatively confident that there is no need to raise interest rates based on the current data, so Uncle Bao directly said that the next Intrerest Rate policy adjustment will not be an interest rate hike.
3. Maintain Intrerest Rate: Uncle Bao means that it will be maintained for a considerable period of time, unless there is a major change in the data will change in the Intrerest Rate decision, but if the inflation data does not change much for a long time, then the Fed will be more inclined to raise interest rates.
4. Summary: All Intrerest rate policies look at the data, interest rate hikes or interest rate cuts are unlikely to be achieved in the short term, but for a long time, this time will not be seen in 2025 this year, if inflation still cannot be dropped to the hard indicator of 2%, then interest rates will have to be raised.
5. Relationship with the crypto world: For crypto world, some time ago, the overall fall and the monkey market is a means of hedging, the BTC ETF heat has passed, very long investors choose to take profits, the current fall has broken 60,000, then 60,000 will become a resistance level, the monkey market will continue, for the crypto world in the short term, the biggest impact will no longer be the hype of interest rate hikes and interest rate cuts, at least before the end of the year, there is no longer much impact, the real impact is the ETH ETF speculation stop loss take profit resistance level support level; , the monkey market is jumping up and down at any time, the monthly line closes in the negative, the low level is broken again and again, and in general, it belongs to the bear after the bull. #比特币