Trump's mouth, even more volatile than $RAVE's candlestick chart.



Yesterday, he was pounding the table, saying the delegation would arrive in Pakistan tomorrow night, and if Iran didn't accept the agreement, they would be "not so polite," blowing up power plants and bridges—an end to the days of being easy to talk to. Today, he changed tone—Vance isn't going. The reason? "Security concerns."
$RAVE
Vance himself is probably the last to know. The esteemed U.S. Vice President, unable to attend negotiations "for security reasons," so who goes? Special envoys Witkov and Kushner. Translate this: tough nuts for the little guys to chew, if talks collapse, just say the vice president didn't go, so it’s not an official stance; if it succeeds, all the credit goes to Trump. This plan is so obvious, even the other side across the Strait of Hormuz can hear it.

Iran still controls the strait, oil tankers drifting in the Persian Gulf, oil prices jumping on the screen. Trump's tweets change daily—morning he wants to bomb you, evening he wants to negotiate, the next day he says the vice president isn't going, and someone else will continue the talks. Traders are watching his avatar more nervously than they watch the Federal Reserve's rate hikes.

The most incredible part is that phrase "security reasons." Just how unsafe is Islamabad that the vice president dares not go, but the special envoy does? This excuse is as sincere as telling a dog farm "we're not manipulating prices."

The night is still long, the strait remains closed. Trump's next tweet, who knows when it will come. Vance is probably sitting at home, looking at his phone, thinking: should I participate or not?
$RAVE #美伊局势和谈与增兵博弈
RAVE-72,1%
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