$BTC BTC🌐:

The price quickly fell from a high of 78,300.0, touching a low of around 75,396 before stabilizing. Currently, the 15-minute chart shows the price consolidating around 75,594.4. The Bollinger Bands are expanding then narrowing, with the price trading below the middle band at 75,577.0. The upper band at 75,757.4 acts as short-term strong resistance, and the lower band at 75,396.5 provides weak support; the MACD indicator's DIF and DEA lines remain in a death cross and are turning upward, with the green bars shrinking but still below the zero line. Although bearish momentum is waning, the overall trend remains bearish. Trading volume continues to be low, indicating a short-term sideways to weak market with bears slightly in control.

📉 Bearish Logic:
The range of 75,700-75,900 above is a strong intraday resistance zone. When the price rebounds to this area, it is likely to face double resistance from the upper Bollinger Band at 75,757.4 and the 30-period moving average, making sustained rebounds difficult. If the price drops below the lower support at 75,396.5 with increased volume, the downtrend is likely to continue. The first support below is at 75,000; if broken, the next targets are 74,500-74,000, with a critical support at 73,500 in extreme cases.

📈 Bullish Logic:
The range of 75,300-75,500 below is a weak intraday support zone. If the price retraces to this area, it may find support from the lower Bollinger Band and previous consolidation levels. If it stabilizes, rebounds, and breaks above the upper resistance at 75,757.4 with increased volume, the bearish trend may pause. The first resistance above is at 76,000; if broken, the next targets are 76,500-77,000.

⚠️ Risk Reminder:
If the price fails to break below the lower support at 75,396.5 and the MACD shows a golden cross with volume continuing to increase, the bearish trend could quickly reverse. Caution is needed for potential rebounds toward 76,000-76,500, and strict stop-loss measures should be set to avoid trend reversal risks.

🎯 Main Strategy: Bearish
• Short entry zone: 75,800-76,000
• First target: 75,300
• Second target: 75,000
• Stop-loss: 76,100