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April 19th Trend Analysis:
Failure of US-Iran negotiations, BTC weekly middle band resistance, can the bulls break through the 80k mark?
BTC initially drops then recovers, at the start of the negotiation breakdown, Bitcoin will be viewed as a risk asset and sold off, with short-term declines possibly exceeding 5%. If geopolitical conflicts continue to escalate, some funds will treat it as an alternative safe-haven asset, driving Bitcoin's medium-term rebound; if negotiations signal easing, its rebound strength will be weaker than gold. Once conflicts escalate, triggering liquidity tightening, Bitcoin will further weaken.
BTC monthly close first dips then rebounds, weekly close extends. If the weekly close does not fall below, a double bottom will form. Currently, the weekly middle band acts as resistance, and 76,000 has not yet stabilized. Once it breaks and stabilizes, it could reach around 80,000. Monday's close is very critical.
ETH monthly close is bullish, weekly close breaks the neckline, approaching the middle band at around 2,400 resistance. The weekly has already formed a golden cross. The four-hour and daily charts show a pullback need, with 2,280 as the last defense. If not broken, it will continue to rise toward 2,500.
Trading Suggestions:
BTC buy at 75,300-75,800, target 77,300-78,800, stop loss at 74,800
ETH buy at 2,310-2,330, target 2,450-2,550, stop loss at 2,270