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【BTC surges to 77,235 and begins to "cool down"? Signs of stagnation at high levels appear, and the bears may strike back!】
Structural Analysis (1H + 4H)
4-Hour Level
Current price 77,235 is already in the stage-high zone (76,000–78,000)
After continuous rallying, it enters a high-level consolidation zone
There is obvious psychological pressure near 78,000 above
Structural essence:
High-level consolidation after an upward trend → prone to pullback correction
1-Hour Level
Shows a sharp rise followed by a fall + sideways stagnation
The high point has not continued to make new highs, momentum weakens
Moving averages begin to flatten, showing signs of weakening
Essentially:
Upward momentum diminishes → short-term pullback probability increases
Bearish Logic (Core Basis)
Short-term gains are large → momentum is overextended
Stagnation at high levels + upper shadow
If it breaks below 76,800, a pullback will be triggered
Currently:
End-of-uptrend oscillation zone → more suitable for short positions at high levels
Prioritize looking for short opportunities here, avoid chasing longs
【BTC Today’s Short Strategy】
Entry position: 77,319
First target: 76,493
Second target: 75,645
Stop-loss position: 78,409