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The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in June has risen to 7.1%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 92.4%.
Mars Finance reports that, according to Jintiao, CME “Federal Reserve Watch” shows a 0.5% chance of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April, and a 99.5% chance of keeping rates unchanged. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut rises to 7.1%, with a 92.4% chance of rates remaining unchanged. By July, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 18.1%, and the chance of rates staying the same is 80.6%.