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Been digging into something that doesn't get enough attention in crypto circles — the rare earth reserves by country situation. With the EV and clean energy push still going strong, understanding who actually controls these critical materials is becoming more important than ever.
So here's the thing: rare earth reserves by country tell a very different story than production numbers. China dominates with 44 million metric tons in reserves, but what's wild is that Brazil sits second with 21 million MT and barely produces anything. They only made 20 MT in 2024, which is basically nothing. But that's changing fast — Serra Verde started commercial production from their Pela Ema deposit at the beginning of 2024 and expects to hit 5,000 MT annually by 2026. That could shake things up significantly.
India's sitting on 6.9 million MT and has been making moves too. They're putting together their first rare earth metals and magnet plant as of late 2024. Australia's got 5.7 million MT and is ramping up extraction through companies like Lynas Rare Earths, which operates the Mount Weld mine. These are the kind of developments that matter for supply chain resilience.
Now, the US position is interesting — we're number two in production at 45,000 MT in 2024, but only seventh in actual reserves at 1.9 million MT. That's a supply chain vulnerability right there. The Mountain Pass mine in California is basically our only domestic source. Meanwhile, Russia's reserves dropped from 10 million MT to 3.8 million MT (that revision was significant), Vietnam's at 3.5 million MT, and Greenland's sitting on 1.5 million MT with some massive projects in development.
The geopolitical angle is real too. China's been strategic about this for years — they cut exports in 2010 and caused a whole rush to secure supply elsewhere. They've also been importing heavy rare earths from Myanmar while tightening their own environmental standards. The trade war over EV dominance and tech manufacturing keeps circling back to rare earth control.
Global reserves total around 130 million MT, and production hit 390,000 MT in 2024. The fact that rare earth reserves by country are so concentrated — especially outside of China where production is still ramping up — means the next few years could see some real supply dynamics shifts. If you're tracking commodity plays or thinking about supply chain resilience, this is worth watching closely.