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Just watched Roblox shares tank 10% this morning after their Q3 earnings dropped. Stock's been on a crazy run - up over 100% since the start of 2025 - so maybe people are just taking profits. But here's the thing that caught my attention: the actual business looks way healthier than the market's treating it right now.
So yeah, the company reported a $257M net loss for Q3, and management warned Q4 losses could hit $345M or more. That spooked people. I get it. But the revenue side is firing on all cylinders - up 48% year-over-year, best growth rate since 2022. Daily active users just crossed 150 million, up 70% YoY. Their AI recommendation engine seems to actually be working. Meanwhile they're still generating positive free cash flow, sitting on like $1.2B in trailing-12-month FCF.
Why did Roblox stock drop today? Probably because the valuation got stretched above 20x sales for the first time since 2022, and investors saw those widening losses as a red flag. Fair enough - but the fundamental business momentum is legitimately strong. The losses are an accounting thing; the cash generation and user growth are the real story. Could be a decent entry point for people with a longer time horizon, but I understand why people are nervous after such a big run.