$BTC Market Viewpoint



Bears, hold on—there isn’t much upside space above. Keep shorting; once the orders are placed, just keep waiting to collect the money.

The “big cake” inserted two downward probes consecutively yesterday, but the real body did not fall below 73,776. After forming a small double bottom here, it rebounded.
During the rebound, it inserted upward twice; the real body did not manage to stand above 74,826, but the second high was higher than the first, so the structure is temporarily healthy.

Key neckline: 74,444
If it does not break below → no further retest of 73,776
If it breaks below → test 73,776 again; if it can’t hold, look at 72,578

This rebound forms an arc bottom; the 1:1 target is near 76,000.
For longs reaching 76,000, it’s recommended to reduce positions; then continue the next round of higher-range negotiation.

Prerequisite for strength: must break through and stand firm above 74,826.
Here, it resonates as resistance with the upper boundary of the flag pattern—if it needs to break, it must break together.
If it can’t hold above 74,826, the upside space won’t open up.

Today, during the daytime, it will most likely trade in a sideways ranging pattern.

Right-side Strategy

Breakout with volume 74,945 → chase longs on the right side

Breakdown with volume 74,388, and the retracement fails to be recovered → chase shorts on the right side
Strictly include stop-loss.

Level Viewpoints

1H: Stand firm at 74,956 → look up to 76,000–76,751

4H: Break below 74,300 → look down to 73,412–72,000

Resistance / Support

Resistance: 74,956 – 76,000 – 76,751

Support: 74,376 – 73,511 – 72,611
$ETH Ideation

Right-side Strategy

Breakout with volume 2363 → chase longs on the right side; stop-loss on breakdown

Breakdown with volume 2340 → chase shorts on the right side; strictly include stop-loss

Left-side & Swing

Pullback to 2305 support is valid → go long; stop-loss if it falls below 2265

Left-side pin insert long: 2242 long; stop-loss if it falls below 2216

Short can be taken at 2434 above; stop-loss if it breaks above 2478

Level Viewpoints

1H: Stand firm at 2363 → look up to 2396–2434

4H: Break below 2333 → look down to 2306–2256

Resistance / Support

Resistance: 2363 – 2396 – 2434

Support: 2341 – 2305 – 2242
BTC1,03%
ETH0,91%
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