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So there's something interesting about the recent gold trend. Looking at the 50-year secular chart, gold has just completed forming a massive cup and handle pattern – this is a rare bullish signal. It means that the strong gold market now is not just a coincidence, but the result of a very powerful long-term consolidation.
The most interesting thing is that gold is starting to hit new all-time highs in every global currency, not just USD. This has been confirmed since early 2024 and indicates that this rally is not just a weak dollar phenomenon, but a genuine fundamental movement.
If we look at the main drivers, inflation expectations are key. Gold moves in line with inflation expectations and is strongly correlated with the S&P 500 – so the thesis that gold booms during recessions is actually incorrect. Gold grows when there is inflation and when the equity market is also strong. M2 and CPI continue to rise, supporting a consistent upward trend.
For concrete predictions: gold is expected to continue rising steadily toward $3,000–$3,100 in 2025, then $3,800–$3,900 in 2026. An ambitious target is that gold prices could reach $5,000 by 2030 – this level seems reasonable given the ongoing inflation trend.
Interestingly, major institutions like Goldman Sachs, UBS, and BofA all converge around the $2,700–$2,800 range for 2025, which aligns with the overall bullish outlook. InvestingHaven is more optimistic with a target of $3,100, based on a very bullish chart pattern and strong inflation fundamentals.
If there's something to watch out for: the commercial short position in the futures market is still high, which means the potential for gold prices to rise by 2030 and in the coming periods remains wide open. There is no overwhelming short pressure.
The opportunity is clear – if inflation continues to rise and expectations stay bullish, gold prices will keep gradually increasing. Some pullbacks may occur, but the main trend remains bullish. This is not a speculative prediction, but based on a 15-year proven research methodology.
For those who want to track, you can observe EUR/USD movements and Treasury bonds – both are secular bullish and create a supportive environment for gold. If interested, you can monitor gold positions on Gate or other exchanges for more strategic entry points.