Tong Ge's Analysis | U.S. Reinforces Middle East: Geopolitical Risks Rise, Crypto Short-Term Under Pressure

1. Core News
The Pentagon will send thousands of troops to the Middle East in the coming days, with a carrier group and amphibious squadron totaling about 10,200 personnel arriving gradually; currently, about 50k troops are already in the region.
The ceasefire expires on April 22, and the U.S. is pressuring Iran, not ruling out further strikes or ground operations.

From "bluster" to "cannon," the conflict is intensifying substantially.

2. Impact on Perpetual Contracts
Dimension Judgment
Short-term Sentiment Risk aversion dominates, risk assets under pressure, Bitcoin and Ethereum are more likely to fall than rise
Technical Structure Already a false breakout + divergence between volume and price, news adds fuel to the fire
Funding Situation Negative rates + high open interest, panic selling may trigger a "kill zone"
Time Frame Before April 22, uncertainty continues to suppress risk appetite

3. Key Levels
Bitcoin Resistance above 74,800-75,200, a zone that cannot be surpassed before the reinforcement news
First Support 73,500-73,800, the low point area today
Strong Support 72,500-73,000, previous low + structural vital line

Ethereum Resistance above 2,350-2,380, a zone that cannot be surpassed before the reinforcement news
First Support 2,280-2,300, today's low point area
Strong Support 2,200-2,230, structural vital line

4. Tong Ge's Trading Strategy
Geopolitical tensions rising, risk aversion is king. No bottom fishing, no chasing longs, mainly short positions, light positions.
Bitcoin $BTC
Entry: 74,500-75,000, light short
Stop-loss: Break above 75,400, exit
Target: 73,500 → 72,800

Ethereum $ETH
Entry: 2,340-2,370, light short
Stop-loss: Break above 2,400, exit
Target: 2,280 → 2,230
Position: Light trading, no all-in. News volatility is high; wait for the market to digest before adding positions.

5. Key Observation Points
1. Ceasefire expires on April 22 — if negotiations break down, conflict escalates, risk aversion intensifies
2. Reaction after U.S. stock market opens — if U.S. stocks plunge, Bitcoin and Ethereum will follow downward
3. ETF capital flows — if continuous net outflows occur, the rebound will be completely over

A cannon shot rings out, gold flows like a river, but crypto first takes a hit.
Good news is all bad news, bad news is not all out yet.
Follow Tong Ge’s rhythm, don’t chase the tail, don’t step into traps, only take profits that are certain, and let's steadily profit together with solid gains 🔥