📊 Wolf Analysis 2026.04.15

Market Description

24h Price Change

BTC $74,310 (-0.02%) 🟡 Basically flat

ETH $2,323 (-1.87%) 🔴

SOL $83.36 (-3.34%) 🔴

BNB $616.05 (+0.17%) 🟢

SOL plunged 3.34% leading the decline, ETH moved weaker in sync, market divergence intensified.

1h Trend: BTC from $74,131→$74,568→$74,313, oscillating and retreating, trading volume 490 BTC; ETH $2,322→$2,333→$2,323, clear pullback from high levels; SOL $83.72→$83.78→$83.92, rebounded overnight then turned down again; BNB $613.75→$616.85→$619.45, strong support. Increasing divergence at high levels, bearish attempts to probe.

15m Trend: BTC from $74,634→$74,613→$74,343→$74,348→$74,310, gradually declining, latest volume only 23 BTC; ETH $2,338→$2,325→$2,322; SOL sharply dropped from $83.93 to $83.29 (58K SOL traded), then rebounded to $83.36; BNB $617.87→$616.35. SOL fell from $83.93 to $83.13 within half an hour, a 0.96% drop, then slightly rebounded.

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Market Drivers

① Oil prices plummeted below $100, whales with $10.3M long positions precisely liquidated

LookonChain: Oil prices sharply collapsed, whale address 0x7d54 on xyz:BRENTOIL and xyz:CL had their $10.3M long positions fully liquidated, with a loss of $1.14M. TASS: Lavrov said the US plans for Iran are similar to those for Venezuela—controlling oil. If the EU rejects Russian oil and gas, it will fall into "reliance on others’ wages" (Aspen stake).

② US maintains and expands sanctions on Russia, geopolitical game continues

TASS: Lavrov stated that the Trump administration is maintaining and expanding sanctions on Russia. Market still doubts the final outcome of US-Iran talks.

③ Hungary election shifts, Orbán loses

Trump responded to Hungary’s election, calling new Prime Minister Magyar Péter a "good person," with similar stances on immigration. Changes in Europe’s political landscape, but no impact on main market trend yet.

④ BTC/ETH hit new highs then retraced, $76,000 becomes psychological threshold

BTC peaked at $76,038 then fell back to $74,310, ETH retraced from $2,415 to $2,323, SOL from a high of $87.67 down over 5%. Profit-taking pressure at high levels appears, but overall upward trend remains intact.

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⚠️ Risk Reminder

• Oil dropping below $100 signals increased volatility in both directions, beware of spillover effects

• SOL nearly 1% drop within half an hour, chips loosened, watch key support at $82.80-$83

• BTC $73,600 as intra-day support/resistance line, if broken then look toward $73,000

• ETH $2,300 as key support, if lost may drag down the entire altcoin sector

• Mixed news (hope for peace talks vs tightening sanctions), strictly control positions #美军封锁霍尔木兹海峡 #美军封锁霍尔木兹海峡 #WCTC交易賽瓜分800萬USDT #今日你看涨还是看跌？