Gu Jingci: 4.15 Bitcoin/Ethereum Early Morning Trading Strategy and Market Analysis

Bitcoin/Ethereum have experienced significant volatility over the past couple of days, mainly influenced by the US-Iran conflict, with both sides exchanging harsh words causing intense fluctuations. In the evening, the market surged again, breaking recent daily high points, then pulled back. On the 4-hour chart, the latest candlestick is a bearish candle, closing below the previous candle's close, indicating short-term pullback pressure. Additionally, it has a long upper shadow, showing heavy selling pressure above. The daily chart so far shows a long upper shadow, forming a bearish shooting star or inverted hammer pattern, suggesting a potential short-term top, and market sentiment has turned cautious.

From a technical indicator perspective, the DIF line remains above the DEA line, and the MACD histogram is positive, but both the histogram and DIF are trending downward, indicating weakening bullish momentum and a potential bearish divergence risk. The 4-hour chart shows high-level oscillation with large volume, but the latest bearish candle's volume has significantly decreased, indicating insufficient short-term momentum for a rebound, or that bulls have been taking profits at high levels, while bears have not fully gained strength. The trend shows signs of further weakening.

Early morning trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, short near 74,800 to 75,300, with targets around 72,500 to 73,500; for Ethereum, short near 2,345 to 2,360, with targets around 2,250 to 2,280.

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