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#Gate广场四月发帖挑战
The True Shelter in Times of War — A Brief Analysis of U.S. Stocks’ 9-Day Winning Streak
On April 13, all three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher, with the Nasdaq up more than 1%, but that’s no longer news—this is the U.S. stock market’s recent “daily routine.” From March 31 to yesterday, the Nasdaq has already achieved a nine-day streak of daily gains. While we’re all watching Bitcoin, gold, and crude oil, has the U.S. stock market quietly become a safe haven for capital? So why is this happening?
(1) Geopolitical Situation: From Conflict Escalation to Expectations of Easing
In mid-April, both the Iran and U.S. sides released signals of de-escalation, and market concerns about geopolitical risks gradually eased. On April 13, U.S. President Trump said that Iran hopes to reach an agreement, and the U.S.-Iran negotiations have made positive progress. This news greatly boosted market sentiment; international oil prices retreated from high levels, and stock valuations were repaired.
(2) Federal Reserve Policy Expectations: Rate-Cut Expectations Weaken, Keeping Interest Rates Unchanged Becomes Consensus
Driven by the impact of March’s non-farm payroll employment data coming in above expectations and CPI running high, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in April has dropped to 0. With the U.S. dollar expected to stay strong, capital began flowing back into dollar-denominated assets, and U.S. stocks became investors’ first choice for funds.
(3) Technology Sector: The AI Hype Continues, with Semiconductors Leading the Gains
The technology sector is the main driving force behind the U.S. stock rebound in April. The market has maintained strong enthusiasm for AI-related stocks, and breakthroughs in AI businesses by tech giants like Microsoft and Google have become catalysts for share prices. Microsoft announced that it will continue to increase investments in the AI field. Goldman Sachs analysts maintain a “buy” rating, believing that AI spending is the company’s long-term moat. Google also announced that it will provide $10 million in funding to support manufacturing research institutes and AI skills training. The semiconductor sector has been even more outstanding: the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index historically broke through 9,000 points, hitting a record high.
At the moment, Gate has already launched U.S. stock trading on TradFi, and it has also launched tokenized trading of relevant U.S. stocks. When crypto, gold, and crude oil are stuck in a sideways trend, you may want to shift your focus to U.S. stocks for opportunities. Keep an eye on the AI-related industry chain: the AI boom continues, and the market remains highly enthusiastic about AI-related stocks. Investors can consider sectors such as fiber/optical networks, AI data centers, memory, and storage-related beneficiaries—under the push of AI technology, these areas are expected to develop rapidly.
Position for the semiconductor sector: the semiconductor sector has been performing strongly, and industry sentiment continues to improve. AI demand is driving robust chip demand, and NAND flash prices are expected to rebound, supporting the performance of chip stocks. Investors can look at investment opportunities in chip-related companies such as Intel and SanDisk.