RAVE

The recent market has experienced a wave of intense volatility, closely aligning with the familiar dominant manipulation scripts of the past.
The battle between bulls and bears is fierce, with sharp and repeated fluctuations in the trading surface, trapping investors in a "roller coaster" of agony.
From the current core signals of the market, the high-level volume contraction is prominent, and the upward momentum continues to weaken.
The bulls lack the sustained driving force, and the resistance above is strong, making short-term breakthroughs highly unlikely.
The clear bearish signals have already appeared.

Combining technical and capital flow analysis, high-level volume contraction is a key signal for the shift between bullish and bearish forces—
Decreasing volume indicates that bulls are unwilling to chase the rally, and market follow-up buying is drying up, while the bearish force is gradually gaining dominance.
Adding the recent macroeconomic environment's disturbance to risk assets, market sentiment has become cautious, further suppressing the upward space for bulls.

Based on the above judgment, the specific trading strategy is as follows:
Short position entry zone: Lightly try shorting in the 13.5-14 range, strictly control single-position size to avoid risks from excessive leverage.
Target profit zones: First target at 11.5, second at 10.8. After reaching the target zones, consider taking profits in batches to lock in gains.
Risk control key points: The above are personal opinions and do not constitute any investment advice.
Be sure to set strict stop-losses to prevent losses from sudden reversals; after the price hits key support levels, gradually reduce positions in batches and exit.
Do not be greedy with holdings; maintain light positions throughout, use reasonable position control to reduce market volatility impact, strictly follow trading discipline, and avoid blindly shorting or going against the trend.
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