📅 Macro Week April 13–19 (Kyiv, UTC+3)

Monday (13.04)

• Weak statistics

• IMF Spring Meetings start

Meaning:

→ the background of the week is set by the IMF (comments on inflation and growth)

⚪️

Tuesday (14.04) — KEY DAY

• ★ Eurozone CPI

• ★ US PPI

• ★ IMF reports (WEO + Stability Report)

• Speech by Andrew Bailey

Meaning:

→ inflation day + global forecasts

→ strong impact on USD / EUR / markets

⚪️

Wednesday (15.04)

• Oil: EIA inventories

Meaning:

→ local volatility in oil

Thursday (16.04) — SECOND KEY DAY

• ★ Australia — labor market

• ★ China — GDP + industry + retail

• ★ UK — wages + unemployment + GDP

• ★ Canada CPI

• ★ US Jobless Claims

Meaning:

→ global snapshot:

• China = growth

• UK = weakness

• US = labor market

Friday–Sunday

• No key data

→ the market digests the week

Overall logic of the week

1. Inflation

• US (PPI)

• EU / Canada (CPI)

→ Key: Will there be pressure on central banks

⚪️

2. Growth

• China GDP

→ affects:

• oil

• risk assets

⚪️

3. IMF

→ may change the narrative:

• growth

• inflation

• geopolitics

⚪️

⚠️ Where to expect movement

Tuesday

→ inflation + IMF

→ strong impulse

Thursday

→ multi-releases

→ second wave of volatility

⚪️

💡 Practical takeaway

• The week isn’t overloaded, but:

→ 2 risk points: Tuesday and Thursday

• Main driver:

→ inflation + expectations

⚪️

Summary

• The market is currently in a mode:

→ expecting + reacting to inflation

• Any deviation:

→ immediate movement in:

• USD

• BTC

• oil

• indices