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"BTC OG Insider Whale" Agent: Ceasefire makes us more bearish; never before in history has there been an example of such a conflict being resolved in just two weeks.
Mars Finance News, on April 12th, “BTC OG Insider Whale” agent Garrett Jin posted that a ceasefire is a poison wrapped in sugar. Why does a ceasefire make us more bearish rather than more optimistic? The market is trading the logic that a brief ceasefire will evolve into lasting peace. But we believe this probability is less than 10%. The basis is that the conditions proposed by Iran are incompatible with U.S. demands, and no ceasefire terms have been implemented within 24 hours, plus there is no precedent in history for conflicts of this scale being resolved through a two-week pause. The actual probability may be even lower than 10%.