I just read an interesting analysis about Bitcoin comparing its price in gold versus dollars. It turns out that if we look at the BTC price valued in gold, we could be close to the market bottom very soon, maybe in the next few months. The analyst mentions that historically these bear cycles last between 12 and 13 months, so if Bitcoin hit its high against gold in January, we might be looking at a possible bottom around February or March of this year.

The interesting part is that the dollar-denominated price tells a different story. It reached $126k last October, but now it’s hovering around $71K. The difference makes sense: all the capital has rotated into gold due to global uncertainty, trade tensions, and that kind of thing. While small investors are selling in fear ( they withdrew $7.8 billion from Bitcoin ETFs since November ), whales are quietly accumulating. Abu Dhabi funds bought the dip recently.

The point is that even if the price keeps falling, statistically we are in the zone where the best averages are historically built. It’s not a guarantee of a bottom, but the pattern is quite solid.