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Currently, the US and Iran are in the negotiation phase after a two-week ceasefire, with the situation repeatedly disturbing the market. The ceasefire once pushed $ETH up nearly 4%, but the deadlock in negotiations combined with selling pressure led to a short-term pullback. Geopolitical easing boosts risk appetite, and ETF net inflows provide support, but if the situation escalates, risk aversion will suppress ETH. Keep a close eye on negotiation progress and the 2200 support level.