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Just checked the mining economics and it's brutal right now. Miners are sitting on massive losses - production costs around $88K per coin but Bitcoin's trading near $72.89K. That's roughly a $15K gap per block, which means the average operation is bleeding money on every single bitcoin they produce.
The geopolitical situation is making it worse. Oil jumped above $100, which directly feeds into electricity costs for mining farms. The Strait of Hormuz closure plus Middle East tensions are squeezing energy supply, and that hits miners hard since something like 8-10% of global hashrate operates in regions sensitive to oil prices. Trump's threats to Iran's power infrastructure added another layer of uncertainty last week.
Network difficulty already dropped 7.76% on Saturday - second-biggest negative adjustment this year. Hashrate has pulled back to around 920 EH/s, well below peak levels. Block times are stretching to 12+ minutes when they should be 10. When hashprice gets this low (around $33/PH/s), most bitcoin mining machine operators can't cover costs, so they're forced to sell Bitcoin just to keep operations running.
Publicly traded miners are adapting by moving into AI and data centers - more stable revenue streams than mining at a loss. But that forced Bitcoin selling is adding serious supply pressure to the market. You've got 43% of total supply underwater, whales distributing into rallies, and now miners dumping to survive. The math has completely flipped against mining operations, and it's showing in network metrics. Next difficulty adjustment is expected to drop further if Bitcoin stays in this range.