Just been watching the bitcoin whales closely over the past few weeks, and the pattern is getting pretty interesting. So these large holders went aggressive during that Iran situation last week when prices dipped to the $62-69k range, then immediately started dumping their positions as we bounced back up to $74k. Classic smart money move - buy the panic, sell the relief rally. Meanwhile, retail has been jumping in as prices slip back below $70k, which is exactly the kind of signal analysts watch for when a correction isn't actually done yet. The thing that caught my attention is how the numbers are lining up. Around 43% of bitcoin's total supply is underwater right now, which means every time we pump, all these bagholders are just waiting to break even and exit. We hit $74k and immediately ran into a wall of selling from both the whales taking profits and people trying to get out at cost. Now bitcoin whales are basically signaling they expect lower prices coming - they're not fighting the downside, they're positioning for it. Retail keeps buying dips, whales keep selling rallies, and we're stuck bouncing between $60k and $74k on huge intra-week moves that don't go anywhere on a monthly basis. Fear index is deep in extreme fear territory too. Either this exhausts itself and we break out above $74k with real conviction, or retail runs out of ammo and we test that $60k support level for real. The bitcoin whales behavior this week is pretty clearly betting on the latter scenario playing out. Current price sitting around $72.73k but the direction still feels uncertain.

BTC1,38%
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