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[Geopolitical Game Begins, Cryptocurrency Market Turning Point Approaching]
As Iran, the United States, and Israel officially begin negotiations, the market enters a highly uncertain phase.
The key point this time is not "whether an agreement is reached," but the emotional fluctuations during the process:
• If negotiations go smoothly → Risk aversion decreases, short-term negative impact on BTC, ETH
• If negotiations break down → Military risk rises, funds seek safety, possibly a sharp drop followed by a rebound
• Repeated fluctuations in the middle → Most likely to produce "trap-up + stop-loss" trading action
Currently, the essence of the crypto market is not a one-sided trend, but a volatile shakeout driven by macro news.
📊 Strategy ideas:
• Do not chase rallies (news sentiment can reverse at any time)
• Cautiously short at high levels, but beware of sudden surges
• The real opportunity is "the moment the news lands"
One sentence summary:
This wave is not a trend market, but an emotional game, where the rhythm matters, not faith.