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Based on the 2022 bear market, when will the third wave of downward trend begin?
After BTC completed the first wave of downward trend in 2022, it consolidated for two months before entering the second wave of downward trend. This pattern is very similar to the trend in the 2026 bear market. Currently, BTC is in the consolidation range after the second wave of downward trend. If we compare it to the 2022 bear market, the consolidation after the second wave of downward trend lasted a full five months before the third wave of downward trend began. From this perspective, BTC might consolidate until around June before starting the third wave of downward trend. Additionally, the decline in the third wave is expected to be smaller compared to the first and second waves. Therefore, considering the timing and price range, it is reasonable to accumulate in batches between $40k and $50k. Patience is key.