BTC's current cycle's biggest disappointment is that the bull market's various on-chain indicators didn't reach the previous cycle's peak before ending. At this point, I can't help but think in reverse: if this bear market's on-chain indicators also won't fall to such extreme levels as before, what should we do?

Recently, I’ve been contemplating the multi-line integration theory, which is essentially a form of prediction. Trump’s unpredictability has already made market participants feel helpless; no one knows if prices can reach certain levels. But relying solely on predictions to make money definitely won't work; we need a response plan.

For my trading positions, the left-side plan is that if the price reaches this level, I will start gradually deploying spot positions—buying in batches—so even if I get caught, a few months of volatility won't cause serious damage. The right-side plan is that if there’s a breakout above STH-RP or MA120, I will go all-in immediately. I can't afford to miss the opportunity on the right side; even if I make a mistake, I won't miss out. At worst, I’ll cut losses if the price drops below. Otherwise, I might miss the next bull run.

I've been implementing a dollar-cost averaging plan for a whole year now. Some of those positions are still in loss, but I believe making money is just a matter of time. It’s also a way to train my execution discipline.

Making money in the crypto space is becoming increasingly difficult. This year, I plan to stay at home and focus on programming and quantitative studies. In the future, manual trading will definitely be no match for quantitative strategies.