Will the United States and Iran reach a ceasefire before April 7? The probability of "Yes" options skyrocketed by 95.4 percentage points in a single day.

2026-04-08 20:23:18

ME News message, on April 9 (UTC+8), market forecasts show that in the “Can the U.S. and Iran reach a ceasefire by April 7?” event, the trading probability for the “Yes” option rose from 4.2% to 99.6%, increasing by 95.4 percentage points in a single day.

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