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22:30 Major Announcement! The US weekly EIA crude oil inventory data is about to be released. The previous value was 5.45M barrels, with an expected 701k barrels. The forecast shows a significant decline from the previous figure, with inventory reduction expectations at their highest! This key energy market data will directly influence the trend of risk assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum.
• Inventory < Expectation (Significant depletion, < 701k barrels): Crude oil supply tightens → Oil prices rise → Inflation expectations increase → Fed rate cut expectations cool down → US dollar strengthens → Bitcoin and Ethereum come under pressure
• Inventory > Expectation (Continuous build-up, > 701k barrels): Crude oil supply surplus → Oil prices fall → Inflation suppressed → Fed rate cut expectations heat up → US dollar weakens → Bitcoin and Ethereum are boosted
• Inventory in line with expectations: Market sentiment remains stable, Bitcoin and Ethereum will fluctuate around technical levels in the short term, with relatively limited volatility
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