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Lufthansa plans to suspend operations for 40 aircraft, potentially reducing capacity by 5%.
Lufthansa is preparing for a scenario that could test the economics of the aviation industry more than demand itself. As the situation in the Middle East escalates, CEO Carsten Spohr has instructed internal teams to develop multi-tier contingency plans and set corresponding responses based on the severity of disruptions. One of the most direct actions under consideration is cutting capacity. The company said that if needed, it may ground up to 40 aircraft, or about 5% of its total fleet. This move shows that management prefers to stay flexible and maintain cost discipline rather than wait for demand to weaken.
The pressure points are not limited to passenger demand; they directly extend to fuel supply and pricing. In fact, the Strait of Hormuz has been closed, disrupting a substantial portion of global aviation fuel transport. Its ripple effects have already forced Asian refineries to cut production. Europe still relies heavily on imports from the Persian Gulf. That region supplies roughly half of the total aviation fuel supplied to the EU and the UK. If the disruption persists, supplies could become even tighter. The dual pressures of supply shortages and rising prices are creating uncertainty that airlines may find difficult to absorb in the short term.
Investors appear to see both the risks and the company’s proactive response. After the news was released, Lufthansa shares rose as much as 8.1% in early trading in Frankfurt. Previously, the stock had fallen by about 16% over the first trading day of the week. At the same time, the company is still positioning itself in areas with clear demand. Recently, it expanded its summer flight services, adding routes to destinations such as Chennai and Bengaluru. The contrast is striking: as Lufthansa prepares for a worse-case scenario, it continues to capture growth opportunities in local markets. This balancing act may ultimately determine how the airline navigates an increasingly volatile operating environment.
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