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When the stock price & the business are telling two different stories — that is worth paying attention to.
Using NVDA as a current example.
Not a recommendation — a framework for how to think about it.
The price — April 2026:
ATH (Oct 2025): $212.
About today: ~$177.
Off ATH: -17%.
The business — same period:
Revenue growth last quarter: +73%.
Last EPS beat: +5.5% above estimates.
Next gen Rubin GPU: coming later this year.
The stock is down on macro noise & geopolitics.
The business is not the problem.
If this passed all 5 criteria, here is how a 1 year portfolio secured put would look:
Strike: $150.
Est. premium: ~$2,300.
Breakeven after premium: ~$127.
Cash idle: $0.
The direction just has to be right over 12 months.
EPS does the heavy lifting.
Portfolio secured put wins again.