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Tomorrow morning at 8 a.m. is the deadline for Iran's ceasefire agreement
But hope is slim
Will Trump fulfill his promise of a full strike?
If he does, how will he strike?
Crude oil will rise, gold and BTC will both fall
If he doesn't strike,
Gold and BTC will continue to rise with the trend, and crude oil will pull back.
The probability of a strike is high, Iran won't accept such a ceasefire agreement, but Trump also doesn't dare to strike fully, at most a symbolic strike to make a point. Otherwise, no one in the Middle East will trust Trump's warnings anymore.
So, BTC hasn't dared to rise these days, crude oil is holding the decline, gold is rebounding but can't move up.
Let's wait for tomorrow's deadline to be confirmed.
If I really trade, I will definitely start with the scenario of Trump continuing to strike: gold and BTC fall, crude oil rises again.
But I won't do a one-sided move.
$XAU $CL