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April 6th Evening Precise Analysis of the Second Coin | Current Price 2160, 1-Hour Death Cross, Short-term Pullback, Mainly Short Positions
Main Direction: High-level Volatility, 1-Hour MACD Death Cross, Diminishing Bullish Momentum, Focus on Rebound Shorts, Cautious Low Buys
High Shorts (Primary, Trend Following)
Entry: 2160–2180 in batches (Rebound Pressure after Death Cross)
Target: 2110–2130 (Structural Support + 4-Hour Moving Average)
Stop Loss: 2200 (Break below invalidates death cross, abandon short positions)
Low Buys (Secondary, Very Light Positions)
Entry: 2100–2110 Stabilization before adding
Target: 2150–2160 (Quick Entry and Exit)
Stop Loss: 2070 (Weakening on breakdown)
1. 1-Hour MACD at high level shows clear short-term pullback signal.
2. Correlated weakness with BTC, dominated by Bitcoin, second coin follows, evening likely to see synchronized pullback.
3. Although the 4-hour remains bullish, the 1-hour cycle turns short first, prioritize short-term shorts.
4. Risk Management: Total position ≤20%, per trade ≤10%, no bottom fishing, no holding through losses, exit on breakdown.
Macro Rhythm
• CPI release approaching on April 10th, market cautious, prone to technical pullbacks.
• After the death cross appears, prioritize short positions in the evening, only wait for deep dips to stabilize for low buys.