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The “Cowardly Game” in the Strait of Hormuz: the energy bomb behind the refusal to cease fire》
Iran clearly refuses to cease fire and emphasizes “a permanent end to the war,” and together with former President Trump’s threat to “open the Strait of Hormuz,” it means both sides have entered a high-risk standoff phase.
· Strait’s Key: About 20% of the world’s oil is transported through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran’s refusal to back down essentially turns the energy corridor into its biggest bargaining chip—not necessarily by blocking it, but by continuously creating expectations of tension, which is enough to drive up oil prices and hit the global economy.
· Weekend Fluctuations and Gold Ten data “Real-Time Map”: The screenshot shows precious metals, oil prices, and the “Hormuz Tracking” column, indicating that the market is already pricing in the risk of confrontation. Iran’s choice to release a tough statement over the weekend is precisely to use the market closure period to amplify the psychological impact, with oil prices likely to react sharply after markets reopen.
· Pakistan’s Subtle Role: As a go-between, Pakistan is neither a Gulf country nor a Western ally. Its involvement suggests that Iran may be trying to open up land-based energy corridors (such as routes related to Gwadar Port) to reduce absolute dependence on the strait—this is a long-term strategic layout, while in the short term it continues to strengthen deterrence of the strait.
Conclusion: Iran’s refusal to cease fire is not reckless; rather, it precisely tightens its grip on the world’s energy throat, using economic panic as a bargaining lever. The next round of maneuvering will no longer be a simple military standoff, but a test of who can endure a longer period of “high oil price suffocation.”
#Gate廣場四月發帖挑戰