Bitcoin's single-day increase of 4.79%. Is it too risky to enter now?

Today, news that Iran and the U.S. may reach a 45-day temporary ceasefire has sparked widespread attention online, leading to a rapid reversal in global financial markets. The previous panic has been completely overturned, and the cryptocurrency market has also experienced a short-term rally: Bitcoin has risen 4.79% in the past 24 hours, Ethereum has increased by 6.19% during the same period. Many investors are asking, is it too risky to enter at this point?

The seemingly easing Middle East situation actually hides intense geopolitical games, and market uncertainty remains high. Iran's stance has been consistently tough, explicitly rejecting a time-limited ceasefire and stating that the situation in the Strait of Hormuz is unlikely to return to pre-conflict conditions; while the U.S. has sent signals of negotiation, it has again postponed the final deadline for related strikes. Whether a ceasefire agreement can truly be reached within 48 hours remains highly uncertain. Both sides are engaged in psychological warfare—testing each other step by step, responding in kind. Global asset prices are constantly adjusting in this tug-of-war, and the crypto market is directly affected, with volatility risks increasing accordingly.

From a market logic perspective, the current volatility is largely driven by capital inflows following the easing of geopolitical tensions, rather than a fundamental shift. This kind of emotional rally often carries significant pullback risks. Those who can profit steadily from such fluctuations are mostly investors who have preemptively hedged geopolitical risks, rather than funds blindly chasing high entries.

Bitcoin (BTC) #BTC行情
Technical outlook: Short-term target at $71,300 (1 week). If it breaks through resistance at $71,948, the medium-term could challenge $75,000–80,000.
Ethereum (ETH) )
Short-term mainly consolidating, testing $2,180–2,220.
Altcoins
If Bitcoin breaks through key resistance, funds may rotate into high-elasticity coins (such as Solana, XRP), but beware of market liquidity divergence risks.
⚠️ Special reminder:
It is recommended to wait and observe until the situation clarifies before making any positioning decisions! "Watch more, act less, with light positions for testing." Specific market points are based on real-time signals from Ziqing. #Gate广场四月发帖挑战