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Iran and the U.S. are reportedly negotiating a 45-day ceasefire agreement to permanently end the war.
Cailian Press April 6 (Editor Liu Rui) According to four people familiar with the negotiations, the United States, Iran, and a group of regional mediators are discussing the terms of a potential ceasefire agreement that could last 45 days, which is expected to ultimately end the war.
Citing remarks attributed to the people familiar with the matter by CCTV News, the chances of reaching part of an agreement within the next 48 hours are “next to none.” But this final effort is the only opportunity to prevent a rapid escalation of hostilities; otherwise, Iran’s civilian infrastructure would face large-scale attacks, and energy and water infrastructure in Gulf states would face retaliation.
It is reported that these behind-the-scenes talks are being conducted through intermediaries from Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey. Indirect communication is also maintained between U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff (Steve Witkoff) and Iran’s foreign minister Abbas Araghchi (Abbas Araghchi).
The proposed Phase One centers on a 45-day ceasefire, during which negotiations would be held on permanently ending the fighting. If negotiations require more time, the ceasefire period can be extended.
The goal of the Phase Two is to formally reach a comprehensive agreement to end the conflict.
At present, the negotiations’ key focus remains on Iran’s control of the Strait of Hormuz and its stockpile of highly enriched uranium—issues that are viewed as Iran’s main leverage. Mediators are exploring whether Iran can, during the ceasefire period of the first phase, take limited, trust-building measures in the two areas mentioned above.
Meanwhile, all sides are also discussing what assurances the United States could provide so that Iran would believe that any ceasefire would not evolve into new hostilities.
It is said that mediators are increasingly concerned about the consequences if the talks fail. They warn that once Iran’s domestic infrastructure is attacked, the country may take retaliatory action, potentially causing destructive damage to oil and water facilities in Gulf states.
On Sunday in U.S. Eastern Time, Trump, in an interview, said he believes an agreement will “very likely” be reached with Iran on Monday (April 6), adding that, “If they can’t reach an agreement quickly, I’m considering blowing up everything, and then taking over the oil.”