#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 BTC will only need to drop about 10% more, returning to around 60,000, and the main force will have the opportunity to liquidate the 5 billion in liquidity accumulated over the past six months all at once!

And right now, in April and May, is precisely the most opportune and dangerous window.
First, in the past two days, there have been no signs of easing in the US-Iran situation; instead, it continues to escalate. The US once significantly increased pressure after two military aircraft were shot down. Although they later successfully rescued the missing pilots, Trump's hardline stance toward Iran has not softened, and he still demands that Iran restore navigation through the Strait of Hormuz as soon as possible, or face further military action. Tomorrow is a deadline for statements, but the date itself does not truly constrain Trump. His approach to international politics and military affairs has rarely followed conventional logic. The fact that he has not yet launched a so-called "final blow" suggests that it’s not because he doesn’t want to fight, but because military preparations are not yet fully in place.
Second, Trump is now tightly bound by the Middle East situation; neither withdrawal nor escalation seems feasible, but regardless of the choice, the US will have to pay a heavy price.
If the US withdraws, the military presence, alliance system, and deterrence credibility built over the past half-century in the Middle East could suffer severe setbacks. If the US military leaves in a state of disarray, Middle Eastern allies will immediately reassess America’s security commitments, Israel’s strategic pressure will significantly increase, and the interests of American oil and high-tech companies in the Middle East will also be exposed to greater risks. For Trump, military defeat and political backlash will occur simultaneously.
But if the US continues to fight, victory is not guaranteed either. Even if Gulf countries are willing to provide funding and bases, the real determinants of whether the war can continue are still ammunition reserves, military-industrial capacity, and industrial systems. Modern warfare is never about bravado but about sustained capacity to consume resources. The problem is that Iran is not a short-term quick victory opponent. If the conflict drags on, external aid, regional anti-American sentiments, and global energy risks will all intensify, and the US is very likely to fall into another endless war of attrition.