4.5 Afternoon BTC/ETH Market Forecast and Analysis

BTC surged to 67,523.8 in the early session and then started a one-sided decline. In the afternoon, it dropped sharply with increased volume, reaching a low of 66,575.5. The current quote is 66,837.8, with a maximum intraday drop of nearly 1,000 points. The bearish trend is fully confirmed. After a short-term oversold correction, a weak recovery window has opened, creating conditions for large-scale swing positioning.

ETH moved in sync, peaking at 2,083.36 in the early session before weakening in a volatile manner. In the afternoon, it followed the market downward, with the current quote at 2,040.19. It broke below key support levels simultaneously, with very weak rebound strength. Bearish momentum is sufficient, indicating room for large-scale swings.

I. BTC
Key Levels:
- Strong Resistance: 67,000, 67,500
- Strong Support: 66,000, 65,500

- Partial Positioning Range:
① Rebound to 66,900-67,000, open 30% short positions, stop loss at 67,350, first target 66,200, second target 65,900-65,800
② If rebound reaches 67,200-67,300, add 20% short positions, unified stop loss at 67,550, targets 66,000-65,800, if broken, hold for 65,500
- Short Entry Conditions: If rebound is weak and price breaks below 66,500 directly, consider light short positions at 66,400-66,500, stop loss at 66,800, target 65,800-65,500, aiming for full swing decline
- Take Profit Rules: Near 66,000, take profit on 50% of positions first; remaining positions watch 65,800-65,500

- If price stabilizes around 66,500-66,600, try a light 10-20% long position with stop loss at 66,200, target 66,900-67,000. If rebound hits resistance, take profit immediately; do not hold the position stubbornly.
- If it breaks below 66,500 directly, abandon long positions completely and focus on shorting with the trend.

II. ETH
- Strong Resistance: 2,045, 2,065
- Strong Support: 2,005, 1,990

- Partial Positioning Range:
① Rebound to 2,042-2,048, open 30% short positions, stop loss at 2,062, first target 2,010, second target 2,000-1,995
② If rebound reaches 2,052-2,058, add 20% short positions, unified stop loss at 2,068, targets 2,000-1,995, if broken, hold for 1,990
- Short Entry Conditions: If rebound is weak and price breaks below 2,035, consider light short positions at 2,033-2,038, stop loss at 2,050, target 2,000-1,995
- Take Profit Rules: Near 2,005, take profit on 50% of positions first; remaining positions watch 1,995-1,990

- If price stabilizes around 2,030-2,035, try a light 10-20% long position with stop loss at 2,018, target 2,045-2,050. If rebound hits resistance, take profit immediately; do not hold stubbornly.
- If it breaks below 2,030, abandon long positions completely and focus on shorting with the trend.